{"id":1072,"date":"2026-09-19T19:09:44","date_gmt":"2026-09-19T23:09:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/pretoriafieldsradio.com\/index.php\/by-the-numbers-georgia-45-arkansas-17\/"},"modified":"2026-09-19T19:09:44","modified_gmt":"2026-09-19T23:09:44","slug":"by-the-numbers-georgia-45-arkansas-17","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/pretoriafieldsradio.com\/index.php\/by-the-numbers-georgia-45-arkansas-17\/","title":{"rendered":"By the Numbers: Georgia 45, Arkansas 17"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/pretoriafieldsradio.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/georgia-arkansas-score.jpg\" alt=\"Gunner Stockton throws against Arkansas with the 45-17 final score, September 19, 2026\"\/><figcaption><em>Photo by Nelson Chenault-Imagn Images, via University of Georgia Athletics \/ GeorgiaDogs.com<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><strong>The recap told you what it looked like. The desk&#x27;s ledger says it was never in doubt \u2014 a companion piece for the readers who like their football in columns.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>By the RFA Sports Desk<\/p>\n<p>The desk published its recap of Georgia&#x27;s SEC opener Saturday evening. This is the other half of the job: the ledger. Every number below comes off the desk&#x27;s own play-by-play tape of the 45\u201317 win in Fayetteville, and the ledger&#x27;s verdict is simpler than any paragraph \u2014 Arkansas&#x27;s win probability peaked at kickoff, at 5.3 percent, and spent three and a half hours going down.<\/p>\n<h2>The score behind the score<\/h2>\n<p>Las Vegas said Georgia by 24 and a half. Georgia won by 28. The two teams combined for 62 points against a total of 54 and a half, so the over cashed alongside the favorite \u2014 the rare Saturday when both numbers on the board told the truth.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Win probability, Arkansas, high-water mark:<\/strong> 5.3% (at kickoff)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Spread:<\/strong> UGA \u221224.5, covered by 3.5<\/li>\n<li><strong>Total:<\/strong> 54.5, over by 7.5<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Sixty-one snaps of personality<\/h2>\n<p>Georgia snapped it 61 times and ran on 37 of them \u2014 60.7 percent, which at this point is less a game plan than a personality. The distribution is where it gets honest:<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Situation<\/th>\n<th>Snaps<\/th>\n<th>Run rate<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>First down<\/td>\n<td>29<\/td>\n<td>55.2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Second down<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>20<\/td>\n<td><strong>85.0%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Third down<\/td>\n<td>11<\/td>\n<td>36.4%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>First half<\/td>\n<td>29<\/td>\n<td>72.4%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Second half<\/td>\n<td>32<\/td>\n<td>50.0%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Third-and-short<\/td>\n<td>4<\/td>\n<td>75.0%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Third-and-long<\/td>\n<td>4<\/td>\n<td>0.0%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Eighty-five percent run on second down is a team telling you exactly what it&#x27;s going to do and daring you to stop it. Arkansas knew. Arkansas could not.<\/p>\n<h2>Efficient and explosive \u2014 pick two<\/h2>\n<p>The analytics crowd will tell you offenses trade efficiency for explosiveness. Saturday Georgia declined the trade:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Success rate: 57.4%<\/strong> (35 of 61 snaps kept the offense ahead of schedule)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Explosive rate: 19.7%<\/strong> (12 explosive plays in 61 snaps \u2014 one in five)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Third down: 7 of 11. Fourth down: 1 of 1. Turnovers: none.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Time of possession: 35:40<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>You get one of those numbers in a good win. You get both in a rout.<\/p>\n<h2>Seventeen yards of rushing, total<\/h2>\n<p>The defensive ledger is one line long, and it&#x27;s a poem: <strong>Arkansas ran 20 times for 17 yards \u2014 0.9 per carry.<\/strong> That made the Razorbacks one-dimensional by the second quarter, and the 283 passing yards that followed came at 6.7 an attempt across 43 dropbacks: volume, not damage. The desk notes for the record that a team which cannot run and must throw into a Kirby Smart defense is not executing an offense so much as filing paperwork.<\/p>\n<h2>The drive ledger<\/h2>\n<p>Georgia had eleven possessions. Two were end-of-half kneels. Of the nine that meant anything, <strong>seven ended in points<\/strong>: touchdown drives of 62, 75, 93, 32, 61 and 75 yards, plus a 55-yard field-goal march. The 61-yarder took one play \u2014 Gunner Stockton to Craig Dandridge Jr., the longest strike of the day.<\/p>\n<h2>Agate worth framing<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Gunner Stockton:<\/strong> 10-of-13, 147 yards, 1 TD passing; 7 carries, 97 yards rushing (long of 62). <strong>244 total yards on 20 touches.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Chauncey Bowens:<\/strong> 3 rushing touchdowns covering <strong>8 combined yards<\/strong> (5, 2 and 1) \u2014 the desk&#x27;s beloved ditch-digging statistic.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Nate Frazier:<\/strong> 14 carries, 75 yards, 1 TD.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Craig Dandridge Jr.:<\/strong> 3 catches, 74 yards, the 61-yard score.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Ryan Puglisi (relief):<\/strong> 7-of-8, 63 yards, 1 TD.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Peyton Woodring:<\/strong> 1-for-1 on field goals, 6-for-6 on extra points. Perfect.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Team:<\/strong> 464 total yards, 254 rushing at 6.0 a carry, 4 penalties to Arkansas&#x27;s 7 \u2014 on the road.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr\/>\n<p><em>A note on method: run\/pass splits, success rate and explosive rate are the desk&#x27;s proxies built from the live play-by-play text, not film. Nullified plays, special teams and kneels are counted and excluded, never absorbed. The full normalized play data joins the desk&#x27;s 7,400-play archive when the season database refreshes at month&#x27;s end.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The recap told you what it looked like. The desk&#8217;s ledger says it was never in doubt \u2014 a companion piece for the readers who like their football in columns.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":1071,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1072","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/pretoriafieldsradio.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1072","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/pretoriafieldsradio.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/pretoriafieldsradio.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pretoriafieldsradio.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pretoriafieldsradio.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1072"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/pretoriafieldsradio.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1072\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pretoriafieldsradio.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1071"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/pretoriafieldsradio.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1072"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pretoriafieldsradio.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1072"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pretoriafieldsradio.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1072"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}